Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.648817 0.726060 0.809888 0.907788 1.019198 1.142278 1.288884
2025-02-23 0.532684 0.639025 0.763782 0.921686 1.117255 1.352852 1.660163
2025-03-02 0.452926 0.568258 0.710584 0.900540 1.149524 1.467656 1.909547
2025-03-09 0.410996 0.535082 0.694776 0.917613 1.224078 1.635945 2.240176
2025-03-16 0.369353 0.495859 0.664466 0.908719 1.258641 1.749739 2.505212
2025-03-23 0.341277 0.470968 0.649360 0.916734 1.314380 1.895262 2.829330
2025-03-30 0.311615 0.440466 0.622649 0.903999 1.336525 1.991364 3.087250
2025-04-06 0.288350 0.416679 0.602801 0.898346 1.367015 2.100915 3.376679
2025-04-13 0.259774 0.382488 0.564364 0.860138 1.341879 2.118646 3.514544
2025-04-20 0.246462 0.370071 0.557482 0.870016 1.393695 2.264863 3.887349
2025-04-27 0.234673 0.358930 0.551409 0.880144 1.446079 2.416213 4.286617
2025-05-04 0.223338 0.347540 0.543843 0.886737 1.492394 2.560757 4.690190
2025-05-11 0.211991 0.335545 0.534746 0.890569 1.535381 2.705993 5.119107
2025-05-18 0.203689 0.327945 0.532316 0.905701 1.600162 2.898446 5.669001
2025-05-25 0.189765 0.309892 0.510791 0.884842 1.595949 2.958824 5.954414
2025-06-01 0.183431 0.304278 0.510145 0.901591 1.664209 3.167213 6.583081
2025-06-08 0.173544 0.291797 0.496487 0.892871 1.681796 3.275250 7.005283
2025-06-15 0.166989 0.284716 0.491880 0.900729 1.732780 3.457044 7.620943
2025-06-22 0.158001 0.272684 0.477418 0.888243 1.740873 3.548409 8.036226
2025-06-29 0.150658 0.263175 0.466946 0.882701 1.762742 3.671716 8.546950
2025-07-06 0.139652 0.246272 0.441553 0.845238 1.713152 3.630441 8.638377
2025-07-13 0.135421 0.241756 0.439379 0.854924 1.766685 3.829515 9.379849
2025-07-20 0.131471 0.237518 0.437431 0.864854 1.821590 4.037804 10.179200